Gravity Works
rcdhadmin | December 7th, 2010 | Comments Off
Capitalism has long been regarded as a system of “creative destruction”. Market cycles are frequent and wide ranging and only vary is size and breadth. The strong survive; others fail and disappear. Recent financial market distress clearly has resulted in the “destructive” portion on the statement. Does it always have to be this way? Is “creative growth” possible? A review of historical, financial crises as they relate to the real estate world have eerily similar causes and results: Era Causes Results 1960’s Inflation; int’l growth; tax code Severe inflation; Financial stress 1970’s Int’l crises; commodities Severe inflation; financial distress 1980’s Tax code changes Lax underwriting; oversupply 1990’s Overbuilding; overleverage Financial meltdown; liquidations 2000’s Too much liquidity; underwriting Financial meltdown. While the dates may vary slightly from this simplistic model, the results have been highly consistent: Severe financial distress and chaos occurred. Unquestionably, this affects everyone since financial resources impact
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